Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1314.507047 1492.870281 1690.495112 1926.384391 2201.169505 2512.210803 2892.431495
2025-10-12 1049.672166 1288.166535 1577.298057 1956.579118 2445.348142 3059.891313 3900.377146
2025-10-19 895.808451 1158.128411 1496.193244 1969.718992 2625.308480 3515.024153 4838.292669
2025-10-26 788.838392 1062.511347 1432.735287 1979.462770 2782.239638 3943.431070 5798.464486
2025-11-02 722.350841 1008.155478 1411.509539 2035.688824 3001.847502 4482.986553 7011.580817
2025-11-09 664.394662 956.291614 1383.743660 2073.110389 3191.728467 4999.401745 8280.429766
2025-11-16 613.730656 907.856433 1352.999516 2098.137660 3360.417064 5502.016175 9619.196434
2025-11-23 570.745332 865.500387 1325.214812 2121.615975 3525.898743 6020.304020 11086.971092
2025-11-30 537.246661 833.907653 1309.897840 2161.859686 3723.069019 6622.669541 12840.659245
2025-12-07 489.331311 774.028823 1241.495185 2100.935970 3726.889942 6861.586883 13900.267397
2025-12-14 447.421085 720.092544 1177.415563 2039.328281 3719.187559 7073.595993 14943.040430
2025-12-21 408.936290 668.537758 1112.404866 1968.124642 3682.164290 7218.178962 15861.783045
2025-12-28 395.876972 660.310787 1123.784677 2043.925484 3954.050160 8067.583314 18690.377233
2026-01-04 377.318157 640.784650 1112.979112 2075.727121 4140.697344 8767.835944 21347.894532
2026-01-11 358.191764 618.457827 1094.621554 2089.789094 4290.667970 9411.140878 24036.393527
2026-01-18 340.407088 597.019812 1075.758219 2100.222977 4433.606181 10063.963792 26944.721815
2026-01-25 329.898957 588.263335 1080.382594 2160.442624 4699.828132 11075.403592 31241.188403
2026-02-01 317.924186 575.647568 1076.071845 2200.532124 4924.317727 12025.114107 35670.008845
2026-02-08 305.480849 561.077741 1066.394482 2227.348068 5120.311364 12939.200865 40309.052879
2026-02-15 293.798344 547.070818 1056.550126 2252.507507 5316.124265 13895.358236 45459.769342
2026-02-22 284.557309 537.239046 1054.520891 2295.639821 5566.126193 15066.773810 51891.959641
2026-03-01 266.655366 508.376607 1009.398745 2230.346587 5513.434009 15306.278429 54735.824221
2026-03-08 250.082290 481.177501 965.811943 2164.341205 5449.779264 15500.973903 57487.012047